Why Nigeria might shatter after elections?

What will happen to a nation, which frantically awaits for justice, after being robbed off peace, security and priviledge? To what extent, can voting be defined as the ‘greater good’ or even ‘the good’?

The Presidential elections which took place in Nigeria last saturday, have as usual, declared the same old monotonous results of corruption, rigging and manipulation.

Nigeria-the most populous country of Africa, is now inflicted with riots, violence and complains. Here, goes the news report.

95% Victory for Goodluck Jonathan

As the count for the election votes in Nigeria approach a definite end, chances of incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan winning grows inevitable.

Though, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) is yet to publish the official results, it is clear that Jonathan would easily avoid a runoff.

In the meanwhile, the African Union has declared that 2011 elections was few of the most credible election processes that took place in this most populous country of Africa.

Well, several journalists, analysts and observers, do not agree to it.

Nigeria has a past of violence, vote rigging, manipulations and corruption during the electoral processes.

Unfortunately, the supporters of presidential candidate Muhammadu Buhari are frantically unhappy with the expected voting results. Some disturbance has already started inflicting the volatile northern region of Nigeria, mostly occupied by Muslims.

I wonder, would the military ruler Buhari, be able to impose justice in Nigeria when the entire of middle east is froth with mansluaghter under the rule of dictators.

But many believe, he will.

In case, you are a newcomer, without the sligtest idea of what Buhari is, your research will be filled with ample analysis revealing how ‘corrupt, intolerant and wrong’ he is.

But in reality, Buhari was perhaps the best leader Nigeria had, decade ago. Someone, who was so strict that the law and order, itself got maintained in the country. The discipline got imposed.

But as soon as People’s democratic party came into being, the rules became relaxed. And slowly, there were no rules at all, anymore.

Violence, death and corruption increased in Nigeria, as if it knew no bounds.

Though, Jonathan, a Christian from the oil producing Niger Delta– became the president of Nigeria in 2010, after the sudden death of then President Umaru Yar’Adua. He was serving as the vice president during that time.

‘Victory in 24 States’

According to INEC’s regulations, the victorious presidential candidate needs to have 25% of votes in at least two thirds of the 36 states in Nigeria.

So far, the regional results have revealed that Goodluck Jonathan has been able to secure the votes in 24 states, as of now.

Starting from his home state of Bayelsa, Jonathan secured 99.63% of the votes while over all winning chances range to 95%.

Though, the officials from the People’s Democratic Party have clearly stated that there would be no claim of victory, till INEC itself announces the results.

Oronto Douglas, the senior adviser to President Goodluck Jonathan has stated that this is not the time for triumph but for deeper reflection.

Suspicion over 95%

Though, Jibrin Ibrahim, the representative from the Centre for Democracy and Development, stated that figures of 95% and above are definitely fabricated.

At the same time, Goodluck Jonathan also needs to ensure that the innumerable expectations associated with his tenure are met, in both long term and short term basis.

Moreover, the oil production is going to affect the oil production in Nigeria, which had been shut due to the unrest.

Challenge to results

The supporters of Muhammadu’s Congress for Progressive Change have been questioned of malpractice in some areas. It is believed that few of the members did not sign off on the voting sheets.

Though, these supporters are all set to question the credibility of the current elections if INEC declares it in the favour of Jonathan Goodluck.

The party has the time to file the election petition in the Court of Appeal within 21 days.

In the meantime, the last stage of election voting would take place on 26^th April for the governor seats in Nigeria.

Credits: Photo from Getty Images